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Tuesday, May 12, 2009 7:19 PM/EST

Comparing Job Openings to Job Seekers

The Economic Policy Institute, a non-profit think-tank based in Washington, D.C., has a recent blog that gives some eye-opening perspective on the ratio of unemployed workers to the number of job openings.

Here is the key finding from the post:

At the same time that job openings have been declining, more and more workers have been losing their jobs. In March, there were 13.2 million unemployed workers, which translates into 4.8 unemployed workers for every available job. To put that ratio in perspective it helps to compare it to the start of the recession when there were 1.7 unemployed workers per job opening, or to December 2000 (the first month of the JOLTS series), when there were 1.1 unemployed workers per job opening.

That's close to five job seekers for every job opening. Woh. That's a whole lot of job seekers clamoring for whatever happens to be available.

EPI, whose leaders include former Clinton-era labor secretary Robert Reich, bases its numbers on information taken from the U.S. government's Bureau of Labor Statistics. JOLTS is an acronym for Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey--a report from the Bueau of Labor Statistics. Here's how the BLS in the JOLTS report puts it:

The number of job openings has trended downward since mid- 2007, and, at 2.7 million in March, monthly openings were down 2.1 million, or 44 percent, since the most recent high point in June 2007.

Statistically, these numbers really represent what appears to be a pretty bad scenario for many people. Competition for jobs is fierce and the numbers aren't getting better.

But what about the number of people getting hired? A recent article in the New York Times talked about the fact that people are getting hired for jobs, though not necessarily the kind of high-paying jobs many in IT and technology are used to. From the NYT article: "So, while 4.8 million workers were laid off or chose to leave their jobs in February, employers across the country hired 4.3 million workers that month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics."

Ok, point taken. Hiring is occuring.

But as another blog from the EPI (Light at the end of the tunnel ... for whom?) discussses:

One more statistic that is often not addressed in jobs data reports, is wages. The real incomes of middle-class families have traditionally grown over the course of a business cycle but recent statistics show that many workers are challenged to increase their earning power even in the good times, when the economy is robust and they have jobs. At the end of the latest business cycle in 2007, for the first time since the Census Bureau began tracking this sort of data, the real incomes of middle-class families were lower than when the business cycle started out six years earlier.

It's the old quality versus quantity argument. Some are getting hired, but at what level job and wage?

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Comments (1)

Few jobs, and rates cut in half. American programmers have had to become Hi-Tech Hobs because of all the H-1Bs and L-1s squatting in corporate I.T.

This database expert got displaced by an H-1B, and had to uproot his family, including a disabled daughter, and move across country to find work, all because the Denver I.T. market was flooded with visa workers:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2009/3/2/12830/42423

The execs hiring these guest workers should be ashamed of themselves. This guy is:

At times like these it certainly helps to take an unbiased, objective look at the situation. I am a manager at a large US consulting firm that has a huge presence in India. Over the last few years, reacting to customer pressure on costs (and the unsaid drive for profit from upper management), our firm has setup large offshore centers for client support - I personally setup a few teams. This directly lead to over capacity in the US workforce of our firm and I had the displeasure of laying off several very talented native born Americans (including an ABD). The personal situations of some these people we had to let go is gut wrenching - a guy with 3 very young children and a stay-at-home (home-maker) wife; a very talented guy from a good (popular) tech school who recently bought a house, a guy in his 50s etc.

These affected folks know very well their circumstance has been caused by their work having been sent offshore. Now how will you justify H1Bs in this situation we are currently in, with 8,000 tech jobs having been slashed in 2009, including 4,100 just last month? This is a 1-2 punch to the American worker. I guarantee you that the Indian born worker will feel the same way once he/she moves off their H1B status - I have seen that first hand among friends. We need to take a honest look in the mirror to answer these questions. I see people parroting free market principles they heard somewhere and articulating it as best as they can. But the bottom line is basically common sense stuff - the employers need to demonstrate they have not been able to hire local talent before applying for H1Bs. And companies with such needs are not even asking for bail out money. There is nothing new with the politicians who spew anti-immigration rhetoric. But let us please be honest amongst ourselves first - if not, we are no different from those politicians who embody hypocrisy.

http://www.sepiamutiny.com/sepia/archives/005723.html#comment236962

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